Mike Lundin‘s Yankees vs. Mets Free Pick
Start Time: August 17, 2017, 7:10 PM
The New York Yankees go for Subway Series sweep of the New York Mets Thursday night, and I like the Bronx Bombers in a blowout in tonight’s matchup.
Steven Matz (2-6, 5.54 ERA) will take the ball for the Mets. He’s coming off his best outing in a long time when he held the Phillies to a pair of runs in 5 2/3 frames on August 12, but he’s still 0-5 with a 9.51 ERA through his last seven starts. The 26 year old southpaw is 0-3 behind a bloated 9.33 ERA in four starts home at Citi Field on the season and 1-1 with a 5.25 ERA in two career starts against the Yankees.
The Yankees turn to Luis Severino (9-5, 3.32 ERA) who was tagged with a career-worst 10 runs (eight earned) in 4 1/3 innings of a 10-5 loss to Boston his last time out. The Yankees are still a solid 6-1 in Severino’s last seven starts and he’s 4-1 behind a 2.59 ERA in 12 starts on the road this season.
We can also note that the Mets are 3-14 in their last 17 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 (Severino’s WHIP is an excellent 1.11, the third best mark in the American League).
My free pick is on the New York Yankees -1.5.
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