Daily Expert Free Picks
Daily Expert free picks for the NFL, College football, NCAA Basketball, NBA, MLB and NHL from pro bettors and winning handicappers.
MIKE LUNDIN CLIPPERS @ WOLVES FREE PICK
The Minnesota Timberwolves ended a five-game slide with a 112-99 win at Memphis on Saturday. They've had two days off since, but that might not be much of an advantage as the Wolves are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games playing on two days rest
I think Minnesota will be back to its losiing ways tonight, facing a red hot LA Clippers team that has won five straight and 11 of its last 12.
The Clippers are a solid 26-12 ATS as a favorite on the season and still have a lot to play for as they battle Portland for fourth place in the conference. Minnesota on the other hand can pack it in after last week's official elimination from playoff contention.
The Clippers are 11-4-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Minnesota and the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
Free pick on LA Clippers.
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10* FREE NCAAB PICK (Creighton +4)
I'll take my chances here with the Bluejays getting points against the Horned Frogs in the Quarterfinals of the NIT Tournament. Both teams made easy work in their first two games of the NIT. Creighton beat Loyola-Chicago and Memphis, while TCU knocked off Sam Houston State and Nebraska. I think the Horned Frogs have had the much easier path and are overvalued because of it. Another thing is that Creighton played their last game on Friday, while TCU just played Nebraska on Sunday, so there's a big time rest advantage for the road team in this one.
Bluejays are also a team that have been surging for a while, as they are now 7-1 over their last 8 games with the only loss coming by a mere 2-points to Xavier in the Big East Tournament. Horned Frogs are just 11-26 ATS last 37 at home when playing their 2nd game in 3 days, while Creighton has gone 7-1 ATS last 8 vs a team with a winning record and 4-0 ATS last 4 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Give me the Bluejays +4!
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1* Free Pick on Clippers/Wolves OVER
The Clippers and Timberwolves should have zero problem eclipsing the total in this one. These two last met a little over a month ago and combined for 250 points, improving the OVER to 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in the series.
Minnesota's lack of effort on the defensive side of the ball makes them an ideal team to back for the OVER, especially against another high-scoring team like the Clippers. While the Timberwolves held the Grizzlies to just 99 points in their last game, they had allowed 113 or more in each of their previous 5 games and 11 of their last 12.
Clippers are averaging 119.2 ppg over their last 5 and the OVER is 34-11 when they score 112 or more points in a game. Minnesota averages 114.4 ppg at home and LAC is allowing 113.4 ppg on the season. OVER is 31-7 in Timberwolves games this season when they score 112 or more.
OVER is also 10-1 in the Clippers last 11 road games when they come in having won 4 or more games in a row and is 14-4 in the Wolves last 18 after losing 3 of 4 and 15-5 in their last 20 off an upset win as a dog. Take the OVER!
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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #670 Duke over Virginia Tech (Friday, March 29 CBS) Duke got their scare on Sunday and I expect them to make the final four with a double-digit victory in the Sweet 16. Virginia Tech beat Duke earlier this season, but I just do not believe the Hokies can score enough points to stay with Duke in a 40-minute game with Zion Williams healthy. The Hokies have had a very easy draw thus far and that changes in a big way on Friday. There will not be any carryover effect in this game as Duke marches onto the Elite 8. Virginia Tech is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Sweet 16 card on Thursday and Friday. Perfect 3-0 to close out the second round on Sunday and now is the time to sign-up with a veteran handicapper that has 47 years of experience.
Play - Denver Nuggets (Game 572).
Edges - Nuggets: 23-13 ATS at home this season, including 3-0 SUATS when coming off a double-digit loss … Pistons: 4-11 ATS versus foes with revenge from a 20-point or more loss … With the Nuggets off a 36-point loss as a favorite, we recommend a 1* play on Denver. Thank you and good luck as always.
> > Marc rolls on the college hardwood Tuesday night with an NIT Double Perfect Play. Best of all it’s just $20 today on Tuesday - only if you act now!
My 1* Free Play is on the Miami Heat (7:35 EST).
Orlando got the better of Philadelphia 119-98 at home last night. After that highly satisfying beatdown, I think a letdown is imminent in the second game of the back-to-back scenario for the Magic. Fatigue is a big time factor at this time of year and Miami won’t be taking anything for granted here as it has already lost two of three in this season series.
These teams are fighting tooth and nail for the final playoff spot in the East, putting added incentive for the home side to pull out a victory here and to defend its court.
The Heat return to Miami off a win over the Wizards in Washington, shooting a blistering 50 percent from the floor in the victory, led by 20 points from Dwayne Wade off the bench.
Despite Orlando’s recent “up-tick” in play, note that it’s still 0-4 ATS in its last four on the road.
The Heat on the other hand are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
The Magic are 13-22 SU overall as a visiting team this season and I expect Miami to take advantage.
Consider the home side in this one.
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Chip's FREE NBA Winner
San Antonio at Charlotte
Hornets (+) over Spurs- I hate to do this as the Spurs have been so good to 'us' the past two months but what is is. Charlotte who is desperately trying to qualify for the playoffs have won three straight (a mere bag of shells..compared to Chip's current 16-1-1 94% NBA streak) The Hornets had lost 13 of 18 before putting together wins against Minnesota and Boston at home and then defeated the Raptors at Toronto. The best-goes-on...Take CHARLOTTE!
Jack’s Free Pick Tuesday: Denver Nuggets -7.5
The Denver Nuggets are just a half-game behind the Golden State Warriors for the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference. They have put themselves in this position by winning six of their last seven coming in. It’s safe to say they’ll be max motivated the rest of the way to steal away the top seed in the West.
The Detroit Pistons are also playing well, but they’re in a tough travel spot tonight. They will be playing their 5th straight road games and their 3rd game in 4 days. And they are coming off a loss at Golden State, and I always like fading teams after playing the Warriors. Now they have to go on the road against and play in altitude here in Denver.
The Nuggets are 30-6 at home this season, while the Pistons are 14-23 on the road. And the Nuggets want revenge from one of their worst losses of the season at Detroit by 26 in February. Denver also wants to bounce back from a bad loss at Indiana last time out on Sunday.
Denver is 9-0 ATS in home games revenging a loss as a road favorite over the last two seasons. The Nuggets are winning by 19.6 points per game in this spot. Denver is 7-1 ATS in its last eight home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Bet the Nuggets Tuesday.
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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Los Angeles Lakers -2
The Wizards have had their dreams crushed of making the playoffs by losing four straight games coming in. The last three were even more excruciating as they lost all three by 6 points or fewer. And they now have to head out on a four-game road trip. I don’t expect them to be too motivated the rest of the way. Lebron James came out and said they will respect the game and try to finish strong after beating the Kings last time out. The Wizard are just 9-28 on the road this season. Washington is 0-12 ATS in road games against teams that make 46% or more of their shots this season. Give me the Lakers.