Daily Expert Free Picks
Daily Expert free picks for the NFL, College football, NCAA Basketball, NBA, MLB and NHL from pro bettors and winning handicappers.
Jack’s Free Pick Wednesday: Penn State -1
Penn State needs a win here. The Nittany Lions have opened 0-6 in Big Ten play against a brutal schedule with losses to Michigan State, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nebraska, Maryland and Indiana. They should be able to get their first conference win against an Iowa team that is terrible on the road.
Indeed, the Hawkeyes only have five wins in true road games since the start of the 2016 seasons. Iowa has gone just 2-12 SU in true road games over the last two seasons. In fact, the Hawkeyes had a stretch of 11 straight Big Ten road games in which they trailed by 17 or more points come to an end at Northwestern in their last road game. Northwestern is not very good.
Iowa is 2-11 ATS in all road games over the past two seasons. Penn State is 9-1 ATS off two straight games with 12 or fewer assists over the last two seasons. The Hawkeyes are 10-25-1 ATS in their last 36 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The home team is 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The Nittany Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home meetings with Iowa. Bet Penn State Wednesday.
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1* Free NCAAB Pick on St. John's Red Storm -
I like the value here with the Red Storm as a small home favorite. St. John's is coming off an ugly home loss to DePaul and it's looking likely they will once again be without star guard Shamorie Ponds (questionable). All of that is playing into this favorable line.
Regardless if Ponds plays, I expect a max effort here from the Red Storm, as this is one they just can't let get away. I don't think they will have any problem. Creighton isn't very good this year. The Blue Jays are just 10-7 and have started out 1-3 in the Big East. Creighton is just 1-3 in true road games with all 3 losses coming by double-digits.
Blue Jays are 4-13 ATS last 17 games when listed as an underdog and 2-10 ATS last 12 as a road dog. Red Storm are 12-3 ATS last 15 home games after playing their previous game at home. Take St. John's!
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Vanderbilt has lost three straight and S.Carolina has won 4 straight . The home team is desperate and need a win here, and will be primed to perform against a hoops program that they have beaten on this floor in their last two matchups by 9 and 11 points respectively. I know 5 star recruit Darius Garland who is injured meant alot to this team, but for at least tonight I expect the Commodores to put that behind them and get their first conference win and cover of the season.
CAROLINA is 6-15 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons.S CAROLINA is 1-9 ATS after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
CBB Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (S CAROLINA) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games are 4-58 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 94% conversion rate.
Play on Vanderbilt to cover
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Orlando at Detroit 7:00 ET
Magic (+) over Pistons- The Magic turned the trick their last two times out defeating both Boston and Houston finishing a home stand with a pair of wins after going 1-5. Detroit is about the same this season as last with Dwane Casey now running the show and are still one of the more inconsistent tee money tonight with Chip's NBA and NCAA Best Bets. Play on the MAGIC!
Wednesday card has the 2X Perfect Conference Play of the Years headlining the NCAAB Power card. There is also a top NHL Play and NBA. NCAAB Comp play below.
The NCAAB comp play for Wednesday is on St. Johns at 6:30 eastern. The Red storm will look to break through an end a 6 game losing streak to Creighton. They come in off an upset loss at home to Depaul so they should be ready here. The Storm have covered 6 of 8 vs Big East teams, 6 of 6 on Wednesdays and 5 of 6 vs winning teams. Creighton has failed to cover 7 of 9 on the road and 6 of 7 vs .600 or better opponents. The blue Jays are 1-6 vs top 50 RPI Scale teams and 0-2 on the road in that situation with losses by 13 and 19 points, The favorite has covered 6 of 7 in this series. Play on St. Johns. On Hump day we have our Conference Game of the year headlining the NCAAB Card. There is a big NHL Power play system and a powerful NBA Card. For the NCAAB Free play. Take the Red Storm tonight. RV- GC Sports
Ben Burns is going for 10 straight NBA winners today. Here, he shares his opinion on tonight's ESPN matchup, the Warriors hosting the Pelicans.
While I don't regularly make a habit of playing against the champs on their home floor, this one sets up well for the visitors. While the Pelicans had yesterday off, the Warriors played in the high altitude of Denver. In addition to the back-to-back spot, they're now playing their third game in the past four days.
The last time that the Warriors played the second of b2b games? That came on 12/23. Off a win against the Mavs the night before, laying -11 points, the Warriors won by just two. The previous time that they played the second of b2b games, the Warriors were laying -6.5 points and won by only one. The time before that? The Warriors lost outright, by 12. Before that? A 7-point win against the Hawks when they were laying -11.5. You get the idea I'm trying to communicate. Recently, the Warriors have been far from dominant, when playing the second of b2b games.
As for the Pelicans, nobody has beaten them by more than eight points in a month now, a span of 13 games. In fact, no team has beaten the Pelicans by more than five points since before Christmas. They've won six of nine, all three losses coming by five or less. Consider grabbing the points.
Last night's outright winner on the Hawks over the Thunder was just part of a 3-0-1 (3-1 for some) card. He's now 9-1 to start the week, 23-9 the past eight days. Burns' PERFECT 9-0 NBA RUN includes a 6-0 mark with sides and a 3-0 record with totals. Today, he's firing with one that's BIGGER THAN ANY OF THOSE. In fact, it qualifies as his EASTERN CONF. TOTAL OF THE MONTH. More importantly, its going to be Ben's 10TH STRAIGHT NBA WINNER. You in?
10* FREE NCAAB PICK (Texas Tech -5.5)
I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders winning by at least 6 points at home against the Cyclones. Even though Iowa State comes in off back-to-back losses, including an upset home loss to K-State last time out, I still think this team is getting some love from the books due that that 17-point beating they laid on Kansas earlier this month.
I just don't think it's asking much for Texas Tech to win here by more than the number. The Raiders are a perfect 10-0 at home this season and 43-4 at home under head coach Chris Beard. Iowa State is a very offensive minded team and it's why they often struggle on the road. Texas Tech has one of the best defenses in the country. Red Raiders are giving up 49.2 ppg and 30.5% shooting at home.
Cyclones are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games after playing their previous game at home, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games and 0-6 ATS last 6 on the road after losing 2 of 3. Give me Texas Tech -5.5!
34-23 L57 NBA SIDES ~ +$19,000 TOP PLAY RUN
The Milwaukee Bucks have averaged 128.5 ppg in back-to-back triumphs, the most recent a 124-86 win over Miami last night. I think they look good to record a third straight blowout win when visiting Memphis despite playing on no rest.
Bucks are 19-9-1 ATS in their last 29 games playing on no rest, and the Grizzlies have been absolutely atrocious lately. Not only have they lost eight of their last nine games, but also failed to cover the spread in each and every defeat during that stretch.
Memphis has been held to 100 points or fewer in all but one of its last seven contests and I just don't see the Grizzlies keeping up with a Bucks side that has recorded a NBA-leading 22 double digit victories on the season.
Grizzlies are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games overall. Bucks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Free pick on Milwaukee Bucks.
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