Daily Expert Free Picks
Daily Expert free picks for the NFL, College football, NCAA Basketball, NBA, MLB and NHL from pro bettors and winning handicappers.
1* Free Wiseguy Play on Rangers/Astros under 8½ +100
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR SATURDAY, 5/15:
My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Saturday was with the Miami Heat minus the points versus the Milwaukee Bucks. Miami (39-31) is on fire with seven wins in their last eight games after their 106-94 victory against Philadelphia on Thursday. The Heat have covered the point spread in 4 straight games on the road. The Bucks opened as a 2.5-point favorite — but the market has pushed the line to Miami being a small favorite. The market is correct about 50% of the time — and I think is one of those times. The Heat are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games when favored while Milwaukee (45-25) has failed to cover the point spread in 8 straight games as an underdog. The Bucks come off a 142-133 victory at Indiana on Thursday. They return home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 13 games. Lay the points with Miami. Best of luck — Frank.
Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports enters the Stanley Cup Playoffs on a 10 of 15 (67%) NHL run — and Frank enjoys a long-running 96 of 153 (63%) NHL sides run of underdogs and favorites never priced higher than -150! Now Frank furthers his 8 of 12 (67%) NHL Game of the Year/Month mark with his 25* NHL 1st Round NBC-TV Playoff Game of the Year for the Boston-Washington money-line winner at 7:15 PM ET! WATCH and WIN — and BANK on Frank!
Rocketman Sports FREE NHL play Saturday 5-15-21
Boston @ Washington (7:15 PM EST)
Play On: Boston -123
The Boston Bruins travel to Washington to take on the Capitals on Saturday night. Boston is 33-23 SU overall this year while Washington comes in with a 36-30 SU overall record on the season. Boston is 4-0 last 4 games after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Boston is 12-4 last 16 games as a favorite. Boston is 9-4 last 13 games when playing on 3 days or more rest. Washington is 2-7 last 9 playoff games as an underdog. The favorite is 4-1 last 5 meetings in this series. We'll recommend a small play on Boston tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
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Pure Lock's FREE MLB play Saturday 5-15-21
Chicago White Sox -182 (Minor/Rodon) Listed
Pure Lock has a TOP NBA play available on Saturday on the Celtics/Wolves. Pure Lock is mainly known for his selectivity in handicapping all sports and normally releases one pick per sport per day or passes! QUALITY over Quantity here. Currently on an impressive 23-7 (77%) run over his last 30 NBA picks! $1,000 per game players have CASHED $15,510 since March 19, 2021!
Pure Lock has a TOP MLB play available on Saturday on the Rangers/Astros. Pure Lock is mainly known for his selectivity in handicapping all sports and normally releases one pick per sport per day or passes! QUALITY over Quantity here. Currently on an impressive 130-85 (60%) run over his last 232 MLB picks! $1,000 per game players have CASHED $22,350 since April 07, 2019!
Dave's Saturday Free Play:
1* on Reds/Rockies OVER 10.5
The Key: The Cincinnati Reds and Colorado Rockies will play in a 3rd straight slug fest at Coors Field today. They combined for 21 runs in Game 1 and 15 more runs in Game 2. And they should easily get to 11 or more tonight. Jhoulys Chacin will be making his first start of the season for the Rockies. Chacin is 3-4 with a 4.46 ERA in 12 lifetime starts against the Reds. He has yielded 8 earned runs in 7 2/3 innings in his last 2 home starts against Cincinnati. Tyler Mahle is 0-1 with a 7.54 ERA and 2.09 WHIp in 3 lifetime starts against the Rockies. He yielded 10 runs, 6 earned, and 12 hits in his last start at Colorado. Take the OVER.
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Mikey Sports FREE MLB play Saturday 5-15-21
San Francisco -121 (Cueto/Anderson) Listed
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R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Saturday 5-15-21
UNDER 9 -102 NY Yankees/Baltimore (German/Lopez) Listed
R&R Totals has a TOP NHL Over-Under for Saturday! Now an impressive 29-14 (67%) over his last 46 NHL picks! Join us and make money like the $1,000 per game clients who are up $14,440 since March 28, 2021!
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ASA FREE PLAY: OVER - Miami Heat at Milwaukee Bucks, 8:10 pm ET - We like Over in this big Eastern Conference showdown between the Heat and Bucks. Combined these two have favored the Over all season long with a 77-62-1 Over record. Both are known for their defense but the offenses for each team have been outstanding lately. In their last five games the Heat have the 2nd best offensive efficiency rating in the NBA at 1.232PPP while the Bucks are 3rd overall. Milwaukee does not defend the 3-point shot well with the 28th ranked 3-pt% defense in the NBA while the Heat are 13th in 3-point shooting at 36.6%. Both teams' offenses are playing at a high level right now and based on current trending data our model is predicting 238 total points being scored.
My free play is on the Cle Indians at 9:10 ET.
The Indians entered the current season with FOUR playoff appearances in the last five seasons, missing only in 2019 (despite 93 wins). As for Seattle, the Mariners are currently on a 19-year playoff drought, ever since they tied the all-time record for wins in a regular season back in 2001 with 116. The Indians and Mariners opened a four-game series in Seattle Thursday, with Cleveland winning 4-2. However, Seattle (now 19-20) rebounded with a 7-3 win on Friday, snapping a five-game losing streak. The loss ended a four-game winning streak for the Indians, who at 21-15, sit 1 1/2-games back of the White Sox in the AL Central (note: Chicago owns MLB's best record at 23-14).
Saturday's starting pitchers are Trsiton McKenzie (1-1, 4.94 ERA) for Cleveland and Justus Sheffield (2-3, 4.91 ERA). McKenzie made eight appearances in 2020 (six starts) and was solid, going 2-1 with a 2.34 ERA and 0.90 WHIP (Cleveland was 3-3 in his starts). However, he hasn't matched that here in 2021 (six appearances / five starts), as his ERA has 'jumped' by more than 1 1/2-runs (see above) and his WHIP is all the way up 1.61. Sheffield entered the current season with 21 career appearances (17 starts), going 4-4 with a 4.50 ERA. In six starts this season, he's 2-3 (team is 3-3) with a 4.91 ERA and 1.52 WHIP.
The starting pitching matchup is a 'wash' (neither pitcher inspires confidence) but the Indians enter having won 13 of their last 17 games, while the Mariners' 11-6 start is slowly 'melting away' (Seattle is just 8-14 in its last 22).
Giants ML -135
The San Francisco Giants have some value at-135 today. They are 5-1 in their last 6, yes that 1 loss came yesterday in a game where neither team could score. Johnny Cueto will get the ball for the Giants he is 21-4 in his career against the Pirates
Tyler Anderson will go for the Pirates he has been better of late. his last start was his best, I think we could see some regression here. Some Trends to note. Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite. Giants are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Take the Giants on the Moneyline!
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
Saturday 9* MLB ML Play
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The Giants have been much better at home going 14-4 compared to 9-10 on the road. But this is a low lay price to fade the Pirates against a superior foe.Pittsburgh is 4-11 in its last 15 games and 2-7 during its past nine home contests. San Francisco is 38-22 versus sub .500 foes during the past two seasons, including winning 28 of the past 40 times. The pitching matchup is Johnny Cueto versus southpaw Tyler Anderson. My preference is Cueto. The Padres roughed up Cueto in his last start getting to him for five runs in three innings this past Sunday. Cueto may have been rusty coming off the Injured List. His previous start was back on April 14. Before he went on IL, Cueto had permitted just one earned in his prior two starts covering 14 1/3 innings with an 11-to-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio. This was at home against the Rockies and Reds, who are the No. 2 scoring team in the majors. Cueto has a dominant history versus the Pirates with a 21-4 record and 2.13 ERA in 31 career starts. He faces a weak-hitting Pittsburgh lineup that is 29th in runs averaging 3.3 a game. The Pirates also rank among the bottom in many metric-type categories, including OPS and hard-hit rate. Anderson has been decent going 3-3 with a 3.05 ERA. This is well above his past ERA's. Anderson's ERA's the previous four seasons were never lower than 4.37. The Giants know him well since he pitched for San Francisco last year. The Giants are 8-4 against lefty starters this season and 22-14 the past two seasons. Anderson held the Cubs to only two earned runs in eight innings six days ago in his last start. He also threw a season-high 102 pitches. I'm expecting there is going to be regression with Anderson. That could very well happen here.
FREE PICK - Arizona Diamondbacks +102
I will take the Dbacks at basically even money (+102) at home against the Nationals on Saturday. Washington will send out Joe Ross. He's got a mere 4.26 ERA and 1.295 WHIP in 6 starts. Nationals are just 2-4 in his 6 outings. Ross also has a much worse 5.72 FIP, which suggests he's actually been lucky despite his poor numbers.
Luke Weaver will go for Arizona. His numbers are actually worse than Ross, as he has a 5.00 ERA and 1.250 WHIP in 7 starts. However, Weaver is one of those starters that is just a different guy when he takes the mound at home. Weaver has a 1.56 ERA and 0.866 WHIP in 3 home starts. Arizona has won all 3 starts.
Diamondbacks also hit much better at home than they do on the road. Arizona averages a modest 4.8 runs/game on the season, but are scoring 5.5 runs/game at home. Nationals don't score at home or on the road. Give me the Dbacks +102!
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This is a free play on Over 2.5.
Tony Ferguson is now 37 years old, and coming off consecutive losses you might not think he has much left to give as a mixed martial artist. He will be an underdog here against Beneil Dariush, but don't expect this to be an easy fight by any means. Ferguson went the distance in his last fight, losing the decision to Oliveira, and his KO loss to Justin Gaethje came in the fifth round. In 31 professional fights, that was his only loss by knockout. He's also only lost once by submission. He should be able to stand in there for at least three rounds, and an upset wouldn't be that big of a surprise either.
Saturday MLB Free play. My selection is on Chicago over Kansas City at 7:10 pm et on Saturday.
The White Sox have absolutely owned left-handed starters in recent years and there's little reason to expect that to change on Saturday as they go against a very hittable southpaw in Royals starter Mike Minor. Kansas City snapped its long losing streak with a victory in the opener of yesterday's seven-inning double-header but couldn't keep the momentum going, dropping a 3-1 decision in the second installment. Here, the Royals are up against it facing White Sox starter Carlos Rodon who has really figured things out so far in 2021. Rodon already shut Kansas City down once this season, tossing six shutout innings in Kansas City back on May 7th. For his part, Minor owns a 1-3 career team record against the White Sox and they'll be getting their third look at him already this season, noting that he's struggled to the tune of 12 earned runs allowed over his last 14 2/3 innings of work. Take Chicago (8*).
Sean is back with a loaded card of NBA, MLB, NHL and WNBA action on Saturday! Your best bet is a weekly or monthly subscription package, giving you access to ALL of Murph's winners every day!