home Betting Theory Will Betting the Dodgers Blindly Remain Profitable?

Will Betting the Dodgers Blindly Remain Profitable?

WILL BETTING THE DODGERS BLINDLY REMAIN PROFITABLE?

The Los Angeles Dodgers have been by far the most dominant team in the majors this season. They are currently owners of a 79-32 record for a winning percentage of 71.2 percent.

$100/game bettors that have bet the Dodgers every single game have have earned a total of $3,057, with the bulk of the profits coming when they play at home at Chavez Ravine. They have banked a healthy $2,347 in profits at home, compared to $710 when they play on the road.

In other words, betting the Dodgers each and every game this season would have been auto-money, but can we expect that to hold true throughout the rest of the season?

LET’S CRUNCH SOME NUMBERS

At their current winning percentage of 71.2 the LA Dodgers would end up with a 115-47 record, by far the best since Seattle Mariners’ 116-46 season back in 2001.

The average line for the Dodgers has been -186, which by using the Odds Converter here at Covers.com gives us an implied win probability of 65 percent.

The Dodgers have 51 games left of the regular season, 21 at home and 30 on the road. That includes two three-game series at Arizona, a three-day stay at Washington and closing out the season with a three-game set at Coors Field. Not easy series at all, and as previously noted, the Dodgers have been far stronger at home than outside of LA.

We can also note that virtually each and every one of the Dodgers’ starters have over-performed in the sense that they have a higher xFIP than ERA, most of them by almost half a run. Those things tend to even out.

Let’s also not forget the fact how tough it is to play at top level throughout a season, no matter how good you are.

The Dodgers have lost three consecutive games just three times on the season, have never been swept, and they’re a phenomenal 18-3 since the All Star break. That’s remarkable consistency, but also not sustainable. I can almost guarantee a dip will come sooner or later, and you better not be chasing the Dodgers gravy train when it happens.

THE VERDICT

The Dodgers would have to go 33-18 through their last 51 games in order to beat the implied win probability of 65%. Not impossible, but that is assuming the books will keep the average line at -186.

Surely with every win the bookmakers will have to consider adjusting the price, and you can expect to pay significantly more to back LA if they keep winning.

There will still be some money to be made by backing the best team in baseball, but you really need to be careful and pick your spots from now on.

How about their chances of winning the World Series? The 2001 Mariners were knocked out in the ALCS in five games by the defending champion Yankees, a team that finished 21 games behind Seattle in the regular season.

Just another reminder that regular season and postseason baseball are two completely different animals.

Facebooktwittergoogle_plusredditpinterestlinkedinmail

Sign up for Premium Picks now!

Mike Lundin

Mike Lundin

MASSIVE PROFITS IN 2019! INVEST IN A PREMIUM PICK SUBSCRIPTION TODAY AND MAKE YOUR BOOKIE PAY THE PRICE.

Premium Packages

GAME OF THE MONTH (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED MLB TOTAL FOR APRIL

**#5 ranked MLB handicapper on this site.**
**#11 ranked Overall handicapper on this site.**

**#7 ranked MLB in 2014 and #8 ranked Overall in 2014**

CASH IN BIG Friday night as Mike Lundin has issued a MAJOR WAGER ALERT with his strongest MLB total for the month of April, a HUGE TOP RATED release you don't want to miss. Act now; your big payday is just a few clicks away. 

This package is GUARANTEED TO PROFIT or Mike's next MLB card is FREE!

GAME OF THE MONTH (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED MLB TOTAL FOR APRIL
Buy Now
Price: $60.00

*This package includes 1 MLB pick


Short-Term Subscription Options

Mike Lundin's 1-Day All Sports All Access Pass

**Top 10 All Sports handicapper in 2014**

SAVE BIG ~ WIN BIG!

Get access to ALL of Mike's picks, analysis and advice on today's games at one low cost! Do yourself and your bankroll a favor; invest in premium picks now and make your bookie pay the price. 

1 Day All Sports
Buy Now
Price: $75.00

*This subscription currently includes 1 MLB pick but more may be added during the term of the subscription.


Mike Lundin's 3-Day High Roller All Sports All Access Pass

**Top 10 All Sports handicapper in 2014**

SAVE BIG ~ WIN BIG!

Get access to ALL of Mike's picks, analysis and advice for the next 3 days at one low cost! Do yourself and your bankroll a favor; invest in premium picks now and make your bookie pay the price. 

3 Day All Sports
Buy Now
Price: $150.00

*This subscription currently includes 1 MLB pick but more may be added during the term of the subscription.


Mike Lundin's 7-Day High Roller All Sports All Access Pass

**Top 10 All Sports handicapper in 2014**

SAVE BIG ~ WIN BIG!

Get access to ALL of Mike's picks, analysis and advice  for the next 7 days at one low cost! Do yourself and your bankroll a favor; invest in premium picks now and make your bookie pay the price. 

7 Day All Sports
Buy Now
Price: $225.00

*This subscription currently includes 1 MLB pick but more may be added during the term of the subscription.


Long-Term Subscription Options

Mike Lundin's 30-Day High Roller All Sports All Access Pass

**Top 10 All Sports handicapper in 2014**

SAVE BIG ~ WIN BIG!

Get access to ALL of Mike's picks, analysis and advice for the next 30 days at one low cost! Do yourself and your bankroll a favor; invest in premium picks now and make your bookie pay the price. 

30 Day All Sports
Buy Now
Price: $449.00

*This subscription currently includes 1 MLB pick but more may be added during the term of the subscription.


Mike Lundin's 30-Day Basketball *MARCH MADNESS* Pass

$1,000/game players have cashed in $29,990 on my Basketball picks since 12/12/15!

Get every NBA and College Basketball release for a full 30 days and your bankroll will be better than ever! GUARANTEED TO PROFIT or you get your money back in site credit. Join Now!

30 Day Basketball
[NBA+NCAAB]
Buy Now
Price: $329.00

No picks available.


30 Days NBA Subscription

**Top 10 All Sports handicapper in 2014**

SAVE BIG ~ WIN BIG!

This subscription includes EVERY NBA PREMIUM PICK I release through the end of the NBA Finals at ONE LOW COST!

Do yourself and your bankroll a favor; invest in this subscription now and make your bookie pay the price. 

30 Day NBA
Buy Now
Price: $299.00

No picks available.


Mike Lundin's 365-Day High Roller All Sports All Access Pass

**Top 10 All Sports handicapper in 2014**

SAVE BIG ~ WIN BIG!

Get access to ALL of Mike's picks, analysis and advice for the next 365 days at one low cost! Do yourself and your bankroll a favor; invest in a subscription now and make your bookie pay the price. 

365 Day All Sports
Buy Now
Price: $1199.00

*This subscription currently includes 1 MLB pick but more may be added during the term of the subscription.


NBA Season Subscription

**Top 10 All Sports handicapper in 2014**

SAVE BIG ~ WIN BIG!

This subscription includes EVERY NBA PREMIUM PICK I release for the rest of the season at one low cost!

Do yourself and your bankroll a favor; invest in premium picks now and make your bookie pay the price. 

NBA Season Subscription
Buy Now
Price: $599.00

No picks available.


MLB Season Subscription *EARLY BIRD SALE*

**Top 10 MLB handicapper in 2014**

Currently on a 40-29 MLB run since 08/29/18.

This subscription includes EVERY MLB PREMIUM PICK I release through the end of the World Series! Join now and start cashing in on more winners!

MLB Season Subscription *EARLY BIRD SALE*
Buy Now
Price: $799.00

*This subscription currently includes 1 MLB pick but more may be added during the term of the subscription.


YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

SERVICE BIO

A former poker pro, Mike Lundin made his picks available to the public in June of 2014. The late start didn't stop him from finishing as the #8 handicapper overall for the year with a profit of $34,970 for $1,000/game clients! He has since racked up multiple Top 10 finishes across several sports.

Betting Philosophy

Mike Lundin's experience as a professional poker player has proven to be an immeasurable asset in sports handicapping. He's a numbers guy, with a keen eye for spotting trends and stats that just don't jive with the odds offered by the books. Mike's plays will rarely be on huge favorites, he prides himself at finding value in close match-ups and although Mike's considered a moneyline/spread specialist, when he releases totals play you better believe he's got something special cooking. 

***Mike's Picks***

All Mike's plays included in his premium packages come with high quality analyses. Mike rates his plays between 1-10* with 10* being the maximum. Most plays will be 8-10* as he advocates more of a flat betting approach in order to minimize the variance. 

Be sure to check out his long-term subscription offers to get the most bang for your buck. 

***Accomplishments***

Soccer 2014 - Finished the year 77-61, +$17,530

MLB 2014-2016 - Earned $1,000/game betting clients a total of $20,880

NBA 2016/2017 - Finished the season 176-149, +$11,340

CBB 2016/2017 - Finished the season 62-42, +$16,300

NFL 2016/2017 - Finished the season 51-41, +$5,250

He finished the year as the #1 soccer handicapper in 2014 and is once again at the top of the leaderboard here in 2017. 

There is no better time than RIGHT NOW to jump on board with this rising star in the sports handicapping industry, so what are you waiting for, invest in a subscription and start turning a profit right away.


Subscribe to Newsletter

Enter your email and get the weekly newsletter... it's FREE!