The Angle(s): The UCLA Bruins (4-0) are a perfect 4-0 against the spread under first-year coach Bob Chesney, and the market still hasn’t caught up. UCLA is scoring 44.8 points per game behind the most efficient ground attack in the country at 7.0 yards per carry, led by Wayne Knight (445 yards, nine touchdowns). A run game like that shortens the game and keeps a double-digit number well within reach. The Bruins have already proven it travels, winning 45-24 at Cal and 54-3 at Maryland.
The Oregon Ducks (3-1) are being priced on name value. Oregon’s defense is the weakest unit in this matchup, allowing 23.2 points per game, and the Ducks have covered just twice. They gave up 27 at home to Boise State and 39 in a loss at Oklahoma State. Chesney knows this building too: his James Madison team hung 34 on Oregon at Autzen in last year’s playoff. We’ll take the points.
The Bet: UCLA +10.5 (3%).
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