The Angle(s): The Detroit Tigers are one of the hottest clubs in baseball, scoring six runs or more in each game through a six-game winning streak. They’re an underdog here with Keider Montero vs Max Scherzer on the mound, but Scherzer has not pitched nearly well enough in 2026 to warrant this price.
Toronto’s veteran right-hander Max Scherzer (2-8, 6.38 ERA) has suffered through a thoroughly miserable 2026 campaign. While public name recognition keeps Toronto priced as a favorite, Scherzer’s elevated ERA and 1.37 WHIP highlight severe regression. He is coming off another disastrous outing where he surrendered six earned runs over just five innings.
Detroit right-hander Keider Montero (9-8, 3.55 ERA) has posted a WHIP of 1.03 on the season, giving Detroit a clear edge on the mound over Scherzer’s current form.
The Bet: Tigers +112 (3%).
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