home Mike Lundin Free Picks, NCAAF Free Picks Stanford vs. Washington Betting Preview September 30, 2016

Stanford vs. Washington Betting Preview September 30, 2016

Stanford Cardinal (3-0) vs. Washington Huskies (4-0)
Friday, September 30, 2016 – 9:00 PM ET
Husky Stadium, Seattle, Washington
LINE: WAS -3 ; Total: 44

The No. 6 Stanford Cardinal will be looking to defeat the No. 9 Washington Huskies for the eighth time in the past nine meetings in Friday night’s Pac-12 showdown between two undefeated teams. Early money is pouring in on Stanford but the sharps seem to disagree with the Huskies -3 now being juiced up. The line is however holding steady at the opener of -3 as for now.

The Cardinals are averaging only 25 points per game through their first three games, ranking them 96th overall. It’s however worth noting that they’ve covered the spread each game in wins against KSU, USC and UCLA. The Huskies meanwhile faced easy opponents in their first three games of the season and are as a result of the scheduling averaging 45.8 points per game, placing them 10th in the Nation. They did not fare quite as well at Arizona Wildcats last week though, as they had to grind out a 35-28 overtime victory as a 16-point favorite. They’ve failed to cover the spread in back-to-back games. Defensively there’s not much separating the teams with Washington giving up 320.8 yards per game and Stanford 337.7 ypg.

The Stanford Cardinals won last year’s meeting 31-14 at Stanford Stadium and the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last five head-to-head meetings. Both teams are sporting new QBs since last season’s clash though with senior Ryan Burns under center for Stanford instead of Kevin Hogan (now at Cleveland Browns) and Jake Browning replacing K.J. Carta-Samuels as Washington’s starter.

The player to keep an eye on is Stanford’s junior running back Christian McCaffrey who rushed for 2,019 yards and finished second in the Heisman Trophy balloting last season. McCaffrey was solid last week, rushing for 138 yards off 26 carries in Stanford’s 22-13 win at UCLA and he’s rushed for 436 yards and leads the Cardinal in receiving (12 catches for 119 yards) this season.

Trends

Cardinal are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.
Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Cardinal are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cardinal are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cardinal are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
Huskies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Huskies are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games following a ATS loss.
Huskies are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Under is 8-2 in Cardinal last 10 games in September.
Over is 9-3 in Cardinal last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-2 in Cardinal last 8 conference games.
Over is 6-1 in Huskies last 7 games overall.
Over is 5-0 in Huskies last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in Huskies last 5 conference games.

My Lean

No free pick or lean on this game, as I will most likely have a premium pick on the contest posted before Friday. Keep an eye on my Handicapper Profile for premium picks and subscriptions.

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Free picks

Game Details
Nov 18 '18, 4:25 PM in 11h
NFL | Eagles vs Saints
Play on: Eagles +8 -105 at Bovada
Game Analysis

#NFL FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN

I think the Philadelphia Eagles are spotted way too many points to pass up on when visiting the New Orleans Saints Sunday afternoon. 

Sure, the Saints are 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS on the season, but they own the league's second-worst pass defense and Philly QB Carson Wentz is finally healthy and threw for a season-high 360 yards against the Cowboys last time out. 

Saints are 1-4 ATS last five against a team with a losing record and are running the risk of playing down to the competition.  I like the 4-5 Eagles to hang in there. 

Free pick on Philadelphia Eagles. 

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Pick Released on Nov 18 at 02:02 am

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Mike Lundin's experience as a professional poker player has proven to be an immeasurable asset in sports handicapping. He's a numbers guy, with a keen eye for spotting trends and stats that just don't jive with the odds offered by the books. Mike's plays will rarely be on huge favorites, he prides himself at finding value in close match-ups and although Mike's considered a moneyline/spread specialist, when he releases totals play you better believe he's got something special cooking. 

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