home Mike Lundin Free Picks, NFL Free Picks Bills vs Patriots Free Pick October 2, 2016 – By Teddy Covers

Bills vs Patriots Free Pick October 2, 2016 – By Teddy Covers

Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots Free Pick
By: Teddy Covers
Play: Bills +7½ -115

The Patriots have survived the Tom Brady suspension pretty darn well, going 3-0 SU and ATS without their four time Super Bowl winning QB.  But with Brady on the way back next week, facing a divisional rival with a real chip on their shoulder, I’m expecting the Patriots to be tested on Sunday in a clear flat spot for the home favorite.

New England doesn’t have a healthy quarterback right now.  Jimmy Garappolo has been upgraded to probable, but he’s dealing with consistent pain from his shoulder injury.  Jacoby Brissett has a bad thumb, and if the rookie third stringer gets playing time here, it’s probably good news for Buffalo backers.

And the Pats are an overvalued commodity this week.  Think about their season.  They started with an upset win over Arizona, devalued now because Arizona hasn’t looked anything like the elite squad they were last year in early season play.  The Pats nearly blew a big lead against Miami, which looks worse now because the Dolphins have looked pretty awful since.  And their blowout against the Texans was certainly aided by the tough travel spot for the road team with a young QB on a short week.

Yet the markets are viewing New England like those three wins were as dominant as could be, against elite competition.  They weren’t.  And when a very public team like the Patriots go 3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS to open the season, the markets force bettors to lay a premium to back New England.

New England’s national TV games were both double digit pointspread covers (Arizona and Houston), but the Bills national TV game was a bad home loss to the Jets, another key piece of the ‘added value on Buffalo’ piece of the equation.  And the markets love Belichick and hate Rex Ryan; yet another factor inflating this pointspread by a notch or two.

Five of the last seven meetings between these two teams have been one score games.  The Bills gave the Pats fits in both meetings last year.  The Bills offense has gotten untracked, hanging 64 points on two solid defensive foes over the past two weeks, including their ’save our season’ win against Arizona last Sunday.  And the Bills powerful defensive line is poised to put pressure on Garappolo, forcing a young QB into mistakes, the same way they forced an elite QB into numerous mistakes last week.

I’m taking the points, but I’ve got a percentage of my personal wager on the moneylline — Buffalo is live to pull off the upset.  Take the Bills.

Teddy enters the weekend riding a smoking’ hot 32-15 (68%) all sports run. He is hitting 73% in the NFL through the first three weeks of the season, picking up right where he left off during last year’s epic 56-27 (67%) campaign; making big $$ for himself and his clients RIGHT NOW! 

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Free picks

Game Details
May 20 '19, 10:10 PM in 1h
MLB | Diamondbacks vs Padres
Play on: Padres -138 at pinnacle
Game Analysis

MIKE LUNDIN'S DIAMONDBACKS @ PADRES FREE PICK

The San Diego Padres have dropped three in a row and six of their last seven, but I still like the price we get on them as a home favorite against the Arizona Diamondbacks Monday night. 

Padres rookie right-hander Chris Paddack (3-2, 1.99 ERA) has allowed just four runs on 10 hits in 25 2/3 innings home at Petco Park. The Friars have won six of his first eight starts in the big leagues, including a 2-1 triumph at Arizona on April 12 when Paddack fanned five through 5 1/3 frames of one-run ball. 

The D'Backs turn to Luke Weaver (3-2, 3.16 ERA) who pitched opposite Paddack in that very contest and was charged with both runs. Manny Machado is 3-for-6 with a pair of homers off Weaver. 

Free pick on San Diego Padres. 

Few if any handicappers have been able to match Mike Lundin's pace on the basepaths in 2019, and he enters Monday on an ASTONISHING 58-39 (60%), +$14,550 RUN with his MLB premium picks since April 7.

Mike has also had plenty of success with his NBA plays lately (58-43 since Feb 22) and he has absolutely CRUSHED THE BOOKIES with his top-rated plays across all sports with +$38,000 in profits since September 1. Grab a premium subscription today and enjoy that sweet passive income. 

Pick Released on May 20 at 07:05 am

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

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A former poker pro, Mike Lundin made his picks available to the public in June of 2014. The late start didn't stop him from finishing as the #8 handicapper overall for the year with a profit of $34,970 for $1,000/game clients! He has since racked up multiple Top 10 finishes across several sports.

Betting Philosophy

Mike Lundin's experience as a professional poker player has proven to be an immeasurable asset in sports handicapping. He's a numbers guy, with a keen eye for spotting trends and stats that just don't jive with the odds offered by the books. Mike's plays will rarely be on huge favorites, he prides himself at finding value in close match-ups and although Mike's considered a moneyline/spread specialist, when he releases totals play you better believe he's got something special cooking. 

***Mike's Picks***

All Mike's plays included in his premium packages come with high quality analyses. Mike rates his plays between 1-10* with 10* being the maximum. Most plays will be 8-10* as he advocates more of a flat betting approach in order to minimize the variance. 

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Soccer 2014 - Finished the year 77-61, +$17,530

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CBB 2016/2017 - Finished the season 62-42, +$16,300

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He finished the year as the #1 soccer handicapper in 2014 and is once again at the top of the leaderboard here in 2017. 

There is no better time than RIGHT NOW to jump on board with this rising star in the sports handicapping industry, so what are you waiting for, invest in a subscription and start turning a profit right away.


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