Mike Lundin Premium Sports Betting Service Plays

Tigers vs Pirates MLB Free Pick

Pick Angle(s): This is the classic pitcher's duel setup, and the situational spot writes itself. Left-hander Framber Valdez (7-8, 4.26 ERA) takes the mound for Detroit against a Pirates lineup he has dominated historically, while right-hander Carmen Mlodzinski (6-5, 3.79 ERA) counters for Pittsburgh against a Tigers order he has consistently quieted.

Valdez has faced this Pittsburgh roster 32 times in his career and held them to a .233 batting average with a 25% strikeout rate. The suppression is even more pronounced at the top of the order. Mlodzinski has held the current Tigers roster to a stingy .222 average with a 28% strikeout rate across 18 career plate appearances, small sample of course, but still a solid number.

With both starting arms matching up well against their respective opposing orders, runs will be at a premium at PNC Park tonight.

The Bet: Under (3%). 

Orioles/Rays MLB BOOKIE BU$TER

The Angle(s): Tampa Bay lefty ace Shane McClanahan (9-6, 3.09 ERA) has been an absolute beast of a bankroll builder when toeing the rubber at Tropicana Field, boasting a stellar 9-1 record (+47% ROI) as a home favorite. and 60% to the under. The Orioles send righty Brandon Young (9-3, 3.33 ERA) to the mound. While Young is having a solid campaign in his own right with flashes of true brilliance, I don't see him keeping up with McClanahan, but I still like him to keep holding this game under the total. 

The Bet: Under (3%). 

4% MLB RUNLINE TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Philadelphia Phillies are in a prime situational spot backing left-hander Cristopher Sanchez (15-4, 2.54 ERA), who has emerged as an NL Cy Young frontrunner with a dominant campaign. Philadelphia has been lethal at Citizens Bank Park when favored heavily, going 7-0 straight up and 5-2 against the run line as home favorites laying -200 or more with Sanchez taking the bump.

The Marlins counter with right-hander Janson Junk (6-7, 4.41 ERA), who continues to struggle with consistency and depth into games. Junk faces a tall order going against a explosive Philadelphia lineup at home, where the Phillies' power hitters punish mistake pitches and consistently put up big run totals against tier-two starter profiles.

The Bet: Phillies -1½ (4%).

MAGIC MIKE'S MLB MONEYLINE MA$$ACRE

The Angle(s): Tampa Bay lefty ace Shane McClanahan (9-6, 3.09 ERA) has been an absolute beast of a bankroll builder when toeing the rubber at Tropicana Field, boasting a stellar 9-1 record (+47% ROI) as a home favorite. The Orioles send righty Brandon Young (9-3, 3.33 ERA) to the mound. While Young is having a solid campaign in his own right with flashes of true brilliance, I don't see him keeping up with McClanahan. With the Rays hyper motivated to avoid the four-game sweep, I trust the home favorite. 

The Bet: Rays (3%).