Mike Lundin Premium Sports Betting Service Plays

Cardinals/Cubs MLB BOOKIE BLA$TER

The Angle(s): The Chicago Cubs came into this series riding a five-game winning streak, but it's the Cardinals who have taken command with back-to-back wins as underdogs to make it a 5-1 run of their own.

I like the price we get on the Cardinals and Matthew Liberatore (4-5, 5.33 ERA) to complete the sweep, as the southpaw is 2-1 with a 3.03 ERA in 11 outings (5 starts, 4-1 team record) against the Cubs.

The Bet: Cardinals (3%). 

4% MLB RUNLINE TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): Public perception is likely dragged down by Detroit’s deceptive 3-8 record as road favorites and Casey Mize's (3-5, 2.63 ERA) uninspiring 1-5 team record in his road starts, but those team trends mask how sharp Mize has actually been on overall, carrying an elite 2.63 ERA and a stellar 0.97 WHIP. 

The Texas Rangers turn to right-hander Kumar Rocker (2-6, 3.83 ERA) who has struggled with his consistency and command this summer, enduring a high-friction campaign reflected in his 1.34 WHIP. He faced the Tigers at Comerica Park back in May, when the Tigers' bats rocked Rocker, cruising to an emphatic 5-1 victory with Rocker responsible for all five runs. .

Detroit's outcomes as road favorites match up identically straight up and against the runline (3-8). When the Tigers win in this specific situational spot, they clear the margin, so rather than laying juice on the moneyline, back the visitors to break things open.

Let's hammer the runline for a premium payout.

The Bet: Tigers -1½ (4%). 

Pirates vs Nationals MLB Free Pick

The Angle(s): We have made A LOT of money backing the Washington Nationals this season, but it feels like the market is starting to catch up, and I like the price we get on the Pirates as the underdog in this matchup.

Washington hands the ball to right-hander Cade Cavalli (5-4, 3.69 ERA), who is in a potential letdown spot, coming off the absolute best start of his career, where he struck out 13 batters across seven dominant, one-hit frames against the Red Sox. 

However, repeating that kind of masterclass is an uphill battle, especially considering the emotional tax of his last outing, which concluded with Cavalli provoking the opposition and sparking a benches-clearing brawl. 

Also, this Pittsburgh lineup holds a psychological advantage over Cavalli as he was absolutely shelled by them back in April, tagged for four runs while failing to even escape the second inning of a 16-5 blowout Pittsburgh win. With the public heavily overvaluing Washington due to Cavalli's recent headlines, the value sits squarely on the plus-money road underdogs to wrap up this series.

The Bet: Pirates (3%).