Daily Expert Free Picks

[1%] Free Play on Weber State +4½ -105

3* on Stars

1* Free Pick on Nationals/Astros under 7½

Free Total Annihilator On Braves vs Tigers under 8½ -120

1* Free Play on under 7½

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Seattle Kraken +160

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

Ricky's 1* play on EWU.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Eastern Washington is 8-0 SU in its last 8 games.

- Idaho is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games against Eastern Washington.

- Idaho is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Eastern Washington.

Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.

1* Free Pick on Angels -120

Joe D is ON FIRE in ALL SPORTS, going 12-4 L4 DAYS ALL SPORTS. Today, we continue to BEAT THE BOOKS in ALL SPORTS: I have my (8-3 RUN) SMASH WINNER in the NBA. I also have my 100% NHL ICEBREAKER, and my 100% BIG 12 BEAT DOWN. Just follow me & WIN BIG!

Monday’s FREE WINNER: Duke Blue Devils.

Game 861.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

Laying double-digits especially on the road in college basketball, is no small task. And I am aware (as of posting this play) more of the money is coming in on the home team. But Duke is a team historically that likes to go into the conference tournaments with momentum. They normally do not take their foot off the gas at the end of the season. They need one more victory to lock up the ACC title and only have two games remaining in the regular season. Following this matchup tonight, they go home to take on their archrival, North Carolina. NC State also needs this win. They currently sit in fifth place although five teams ahead of them right now, in the ACC at 10-6. They would love to finish in the top-four, and receive all the benefits that go along with that. That's not going to be easy, my friends. However, they do have a game remaining at home to end the regular season against Stanford. It is true, the Blue Devils have had their way with the Wolfpack, taking six of the last nine matchups straight up, covering four of those nine meetings. These two teams have yet to meet this season. However, Duke certainly comes in here with more momentum, winning six in a row and nine of their last 10 while NC State has struggled, dropping four of their last five SU. As a matter of fact, they've been pointspread poison, failing to cover six of their last seven coming into tonight's matchup. Both teams score about the same offensively, but the big difference here is on the defensive side of the court. Very few teams have lit up the scoreboard on the Blue Devils, as they rank fourth in the nation yielding just 64.7 PPG. That would be enough for me here. But at both ends of the court they are far superior on the boards which will give their offense more second-chance opportunities, while taking away their opponents second-chance opportunities. One more item my friends; NC State is deadly from downtown. However, they're going up against one of the best three-point shooting defenses in the nation. As I mentioned at the the start of this breakdown, I don't have a problem laying double-digits on the road with this team. Take Duke. Thank you.

Recommended Bet: Benfica -181

This is a FREE PLAY on the Leafs.

The Flyers are 13-12-4 on the road, while the Leafs are 16-10-6 at home.

The Leafs are going to be risking life and limb tonight to try and avoid a four-game slide since the Olympic break, though, most recently falling 5-2 to Ottawa, and I expect this sense of desperation that they'll play with, to lead them to a solid victory here in this favorable matchup.

They already beat Philly 2-1 in OT back in January. The Flyers are off satisfying back-to-back victories and with two nights off before a home game vs. the Mammoth, I expect the visitors to come out complacent and flat-footed tonight.

Considering the circumstances, I absolutely believe TORONTO is worth a "second look" in this situation and at this price.

Good luck, NP

1*

FREE PLAY on Nationals/Astros over 7½

1* Free Play on Maple Leafs -125

Free Play on Braves +160

1* Free Pick on Rockies +120

The Dodgers are getting the usual "name brand" tax from the oddsmakers today. Everyone wants to lay juice on the favorites, but the value is sitting right with Colorado.

The Dodgers' pitching staff is dealing with some early-season fatigue. Their top arms have seen high pitch counts lately and the velocity is slightly down across the board.

The Rockies have been crushing right-handed pitching this spring. Their team batting average against righties is significantly higher than the league average.

Looking at the FIP numbers, the Dodgers' projected starter is due for a massive regression. He has been getting lucky with fly balls staying in the park, but that luck is about to run out.

Colorado’s bullpen is the hidden edge in this matchup. They have three high-leverage arms who are fully rested and ready to shut down the late innings.

Los Angeles has a few key bats dealing with minor "day-to-day" issues. They aren't at full strength, which narrows the talent gap significantly.

The Rockies have shown a lot of grit in these early March matchups. They are playing for roster spots and showing much more intensity than the veteran-heavy Dodgers.

Vegas is banking on the public to blindly bet the Dodgers. The sharp money is moving toward the home dog for a reason.

I expect the Rockies to jump out to an early lead and stay aggressive. Their contact hitters will make life miserable for a Dodgers staff that is struggling to find the strike zone.

The plus-money price is simply too high to ignore in this situation. Everything in the data points to an upset in this spot.

I like the Rockies ML (+120).

I have three premium selections available today across MLB and college basketball, all backed by my signature situational and statistical analysis. These high-value plays represent my strongest positions on the board for today's action. You can find my full card of premium releases available now on the site.

View Premium Picks →

1* FREE INFO PLAY Northern Colorado -5½ -115

R&R Totals FREE CBB Over-Under Monday 3-2-26

OVER 147 1/2 Iowa State/Arizona

Join R&R Totals with his total on Idaho v. Eastern Washington!

R&R Totals has a TOP NHL Over-Under for Monday! Now an impressive 393-330 (54%) over his last 766 NHL picks! Join us and make money like the $1,000 per game clients who are up $28,050 since May 06, 2022!

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Golden State at home is always dangerous, but the Clippers’ two-way profile gives them the cleaner edge. Their perimeter defense matches up well with the Warriors’ spacing, and LA’s ability to generate efficient half-court looks puts pressure on a Warriors team that has been inconsistent in late-game execution.

Jim's Free Play: Clippers -1 (7:10 PT / 10:10 ET)

Monday's NBA Free Pick

PLAY ON: Warriors +2.5

McNeese State heads into Thibodaux as a dominant force in the Southland Conference, riding a remarkable 15-game winning streak that has seen them overpower opponents with suffocating defense, efficient scoring, and consistent rebounding edges, all while covering the spread in 10 of those contests, highlighting their ability to not just win but dominate margins. Facing a Nicholls State squad that has stumbled recently, dropping five of their last seven outings and struggling to find rhythm against stronger conference foes, this matchup presents a clear angle for bettors eyeing road favorites who thrive under pressure, especially given McNeese's impressive 18-3 record in league play, where they've outscored rivals by an average of 17 points per game, bolstered by a top-50 national defense that limits opponents to under 65 points on average. The Cowboys' road performance adds another layer to this bet, with six victories in their last seven away games, including covers in key spots against similar mid-tier teams, where their physicality in the paint and quick transition play have turned potential traps into blowouts, contrasting sharply with Nicholls' 12-9 conference mark that masks vulnerabilities at home, where they've failed to cover in four of their last six as underdogs. Statistically, McNeese's offensive efficiency shines through in their 48.7% field goal shooting and 38.3% from beyond the arc during the streak, allowing them to exploit Nicholls' defensive lapses that have yielded over 75 points per game in recent losses, creating value on the spread before sharper action pushes the line higher, as seen in prior games where the Cowboys' depth and pace wore down lesser squads. Historically in this rivalry, McNeese has flipped the script in recent years, winning six of the last 10 head-to-heads with an emphasis on controlling the boards—averaging a plus-8 rebounding margin in those wins—which bodes well against a Nicholls team that ranks near the bottom of the conference in defensive rebounding percentage, setting up opportunities for second-chance points and extended possessions that could widen the final score. Bettors should consider the trend of Southland road favorites covering at a 57% clip when on winning streaks of 10 or more, aligning perfectly with McNeese's current form, while Nicholls' 48.3% ATS record overall this season underscores their inconsistency, particularly in games where they've been outmatched in tempo and physicality, making this a prime spot to back the hotter team before the market adjusts fully.

My selection is on Duke minus the points over N.C. State at 7 pm et on Monday.

Duke doesn't appear to be as popular as a bet as you might think on Monday. The Blue Devils of course enter this game on a tear having won six straight games since that last-second loss to North Carolina on February 7th. While known for their offensive prowess, the Blue Devils have been as locked-in defensively as any team in the country lately, holding five of their last six opponents to 22 or fewer made field goals including an impressive performance against Michigan on February 21st. N.C. State has fallen apart down the stretch, dropping four of its last five games including a disappointing overtime loss against Notre Dame on Saturday. The Wolfpack have been getting drilled by the opposition, allowing 31 or more made field goals in four of their last five contests, albeit with overtime boosting Notre Dame last time out. N.C. State's defensive play has been an issue for months though really as it has allowed 11 of its last 12 opponents to connect on 25 or more field goals. That's just not going to cut it against an elite team like Duke. Take Duke (8*).

1* on A's +130

Free Pick on Avalanche -160

Another game in which the pros got the line too low for a premium, but still a strong bet.

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The under version goes under at a rate of 1905-1482-89.

Combined with an angle that compares the current total to the previous, it goes under 323-189-21. 

Joe Duffy has quietly put together a solid 7-4 recent run, and college basketball side is posted exploiting our tightened up version of the system that has made you a fortune this year. Two NBA bets, both are sides!

If you’d rather trust coin-flip takes from three- and four-letter network websites written by aspiring analysts, that’s your choice. But if you want 38 years of full-time, professional handicapping experience — this is all I’ve done my entire adult life — you know where to turn. No guesswork. No hot takes. No hobbyists.