Daily Expert Free Picks
Daily Expert free picks for the NFL, College football, NCAA Basketball, NBA, MLB and NHL from pro bettors and winning handicappers.
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Jimmy Boyd
1* Free Pick on Baylor +109
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
Calvin King
[1%] Free Play on Giants -140
Doc's Sports
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #181 Over in Syracuse Orange vs Tennessee Volunteers (12p.m., Saturday, August 30 ABC) Just feel both of these offenses will put up some points in this neutral site game in Atlanta, GA. Syracuse quietly won 10 games last season and will again have to move the football through the air. Tennessee plays up-tempo and likes to score quick in their drives against tired defenders. We will not worry if Tennessee can cover this number and instead just focus on the over. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend card featuring plays in FCS, CFL, MLB, WNBA, UFC, and Soccer. We are coming off 3 straight winning weeks of football and now is the time to jump on board with a veteran handicapper that has been in business since 1971.
ProSportsPicks
PSP Data Driven 1* Under.
At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.
Our models suggest that the value is on the under. The Under is 6-4 in the Seahawks last 10 games. The Under is 4-1 in the Seahawks last 5 home games.
Info Plays
1* FREE INFO PLAY Ball State +17½ +100
Steve Janus
1* Free Sharp Play on CF Monterrey -105
Bobby Conn
1* Free Play on Guardians +145
Sean Murphy
Fresh off a 3-0 CFB SWEEP on Thursday, Sean has a loaded weekend of CFB action starting with a TOTAL DOMINATOR on Friday and keyed by TWO 10* TOP RATED big ticket releases on Saturday and Sunday (five plays in total)! Hop on board with a three-day pass and don't miss a single winner from Murph!
Friday MLB Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Milwaukee and Toronto at 7:05 pm et on Friday.
Both of these teams enter this series performing well at the plate but I look for a pitcher's duel on Friday.
Freddy Peralta will get the start for Milwaukee. Consistently one of baseball's most under-appreciated starters (he's never earned a Cy Young Award vote in his eight-year big league career), the right-hander owns a 3.68 FIP and 1.10 WHIP to go along with a 15-5 record this season. He enters in tremendous form. Peralta hasn't allowed an earned run over his last three starts, yielding just six hits in 17 innings of work.
Shane Bieber will make his second start since returning from injury for the Blue Jays. His first outing was a good one as he logged six innings, needing only 87 pitches while allowing one earned run on just two hits. He struck out nine and didn't walk a single batter (he did have one hit-by-pitch).
While Toronto's struggling bullpen is a concern, the good news is it should have 'all hands on deck' following an off day on Thursday. I believe this total will prove too high in a game that should have a 'playoff-like atmosphere' between two of the best teams in baseball. Take the under.
Kyle Hunter
*3 Star Free Play* I love the hire of Tom Allen as the defensive coordinator for the Clemson Tigers. This is an ultra talented front seven that underachieved last year. They'll be much better under Allen this season. LSU's massive weakness is on the offensive line. That isn't a problem I'd want to have against the Clemson pass rush.
LSU has fantastic skill position talent on their offense, but I think the OLine will have so many problems here it will be hard for the offense to operate.
While the LSU defense is definitely improving, I like the Clemson offense to have plenty of edges here. The Clemson wide receivers are top three in the country. The offensive line is a strong veteran unit. Cade Klubnik took that big step last season.
Dabo and the Clemson Tigers should take care of business here. Take Clemson.
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Max Chase
1* Free Pick on Western Michigan/Michigan State under 49½
Black Widow
1* Free Wiseguy Play on Diamondbacks +178
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*
Jack Jones
Jack's Free Pick Friday: Padres/Twins OVER 8.5
The Minnesota Twins have been a dead nuts OVER team here down the stretch. They have gone 8-2-1 OVER in their last 11 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in nine of those 11 games. The Padres are raking right now scoring at least 5 runs in six of their last nine games overall. This total of 8.5 is too short tonight.
The Padres are capable of covering this total on their own against Zebby Matthews, who is 4-8 with a 5.88 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 20 starts over the last two seasons. Matthews is 3-4 with a 5.30 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in 11 starts this season. He has allowed 5 homers in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts.
Nestor Cortes is working his way back from injury and has been on a pitch count for the Padres with 81 or fewer pitches in three of his four starts since returning. The Twins should be productive enough against him to contribute to us cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket. Bet the OVER in this game Friday.
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Jeff Alexander
1* MLB - Tigers/Royals FREE PICK on Royals -116
Dave Price
Dave's Friday Free Play:
1* on Tigers/Royals OVER 9
The Key: I like the price we are getting on the OVER 9 between the Tigers and Royals tonight. The Tigers have gone for at least 9 combined runs in 8 of their last 11 games. The Royals have gone for at least 9 combined runs in 6 of their last 8 games. Chris Paddack is 5-11 with a 4.98 ERA in 26 starts this year, and 2-6 with a 5.67 ERA in 14 road starts. Seth Lugo has yielded 21 ER and 8 HR in 18 2/3 innings in his last 4 starts as he clearly isn't right. Lugo has yielded 10 ER and 4 HR in 7 2/3 innings in his last 2 starts against the Tigers this year. Take the OVER.
**5X Top 10 NCAAF Handicapper!** Dave was the #4 NCAAF Capper in 2011, the #7 NCAAF Capper in 2009 and the #5 NCAAF Capper in 2008! He had his best season to date finishing as the #2 Ranked NCAAF Capper in 2020! He also finished as the #4 Ranked NCAAF Capper in 2024 this past season! He is riding a 417-346 NCAAF Run over the past couple seasons along with a more recent 44-19 NCAAF Run since the end of last season! He is coming off a 7-2 Thursday! Give your book the beating it deserves tonight and hop on board for Dave's Friday All Sports 5-Pack for $49.95! By doing so you'll earn access to his 7* NL Game of the Year along with four 6* picks (2 MLB, 2 NCAAF) for you to crush your book with tonight ladies and gents! Dave guarantees you'll cash in a profit or you get Saturday's picks for FREE!
John Martin
1 Unit FREE PLAY on San Jose State -13.5
Ken Niumatalolo did a great job getting San Jose State to a bowl game in his first season last year despite having just nine starters back. Now he has 12 starters back and more of his players in place in his second season. He returns his QB and RB and three of his top four tacklers on defense. The Spartans should hit the ground running now that they are used to his systems. Central Michigan is in a rebuilding year with first-year head coach Matt Drinkall. They are learning new schemes under two new coordinators, and they have just 10 starters back. The RB and WR rooms are brand new with not a single important piece back from those units. Give me San Jose State.
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Mike Lundin
MLB FREE PICK
Marlins righty Eury Perez has a 4.05 ERA over five starts in August after a strong July (1.29 ERA), but has looked sharper in his last two outings.
The Mets will debut top pitching prospect Jonah Tong, who has dominated the minors this year with a 1.43 ERA, 179 strikeouts in 113+ innings, and leads all minor league pitchers in strikeouts. Known as the "Canadian Cannon," Tong's elite strikeout ability and recent dominance suggest he will challenge Miami’s lineup effectively.
This pitching matchup supports taking the under in the game.
3% FREE PICK ON THE UNDER.
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Pure Lock
Pure Lock's FREE CFB play Friday 8-29-25
Charlotte +5
Pure Lock has a TOP MLB play available on Friday on the Rays/Nationals. Pure Lock is mainly known for his selectivity in handicapping all sports and normally releases one pick per sport per day or passes! QUALITY over Quantity here. Currently on an impressive 174-138 (56%) run over his last 313 OVERALL picks! $1,000 per game players have CASHED $14,600 since February 13, 2025!
Pure Lock has a TOP NCAA-F play available on Saturday on the Marshall/Georgia. Pure Lock is mainly known for his selectivity in handicapping all sports and normally releases one pick per sport per day or passes! QUALITY over Quantity here. Currently on an impressive 50-33 (60%) run over his last 85 NCAA-F picks! $1,000 per game players have CASHED $13,840 since September 14, 2019!
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R&R Totals
R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Friday 8-29-25
OVER 7 1/2 Seattle/Cleveland (Kirby/Allen) Listed
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John Ryan
Giants vs Commanders
5-Unit bet on the Giants priced as 6.5-point dogs.
Live Betting Strategy: Consider betting 3.5 units on the Giants preflop (prior to the kickoff) and then look to add 1.5 units if the Commanders score first or they retake the lead during the first half of action. Betting in the second half has an increasing limitation of time remaining in order for that bet to win. You essentially need to be correct nearly immediately when making any 2nd half bet so be cautious whenever thinking of that strategy this season.
In each of the past four Circa Survivors and any survivor contest the most popular team choices to win in Week 1 have lost and by week 4 about 88% of the entries have been eliminated. This game has the potential to be the largest selected choice on the board for any survivor contest. The betting sentiment is largely positive for the Commanders and highly negative for the Giants based on their recent seasons. The fact that this game is only 6.5 points had me scratching my head from the opening. Of the tickets bet on this game, 55% of them are on the Commanders and accounts for a whopping 61% of the handle and the line has not moved from the opening price. In fact, there are some books that have moved their lines to 6 points.
The following betting algorithm has produced an exceptional 25-30 SU record and a 38-14-3 ATS record good for 73% winning bets since 2014. The required criteria are:
ü Bet on road dogs priced between 3 and 6.5 points.
ü The game occurs in the first three weeks of the regular season.
ü That team struggled on defense allowing 5.7 or more yards per play in their previous season.
Now, sit down and read this fact. If the game has a total of more than 45 points, this system has gone an amazing 14-18 SU and 23-7-2 ATS good for a highly profitable 77% winning bets since 2014.
P-Value Calculation for the NFL Betting System
The P-Value measures the probability of observing the system's winning record (or better) under the null hypothesis that it's no better than random chance. For ATS betting, we test against two nulls:
We use a one-tailed binomial test (alternative='greater'), assuming independent bets (a common but debated assumption in sports betting due to potential correlations). Pushes (2) are excluded, focusing on decisions (wins + losses). Data: Overall, 39 wins / 53 trials (73.58%); Divisional 12 wins / 15 trials (80%).
Results
Metric
Wins/Trials
Win %
P-Value vs. 0.5
P-Value vs. 0.5238
Overall ATS (since 2014)
39/53
73.58%
0.000401 (highly significant)
0.001304 (highly significant)
Divisional ATS (since 2014)
12/15
80%
0.017578 (significant)
0.027176 (significant)
Interpretation: Both are statistically significant (P < 0.05), meaning the results are unlikely due to luck alone—even against the tougher breakeven threshold. The overall system's low P-Value strongly rejects the null, supporting its profitability claims (e.g., consistent wins over 11 seasons, 8 bets lined up for 2025 Weeks 1-3).
Hunter Price
1* Free Pick on A's -130
ASA
#175 ASA FREE PLAY ON Old Dominion +24 over Indiana, Saturday at 2:30PM ET - ODU started last season with a near upset over South Carolina in week 1 as a +21 point underdog. Can they repeat that performance and beat this Indiana team to open the season? It’s unlikely they can win this game, but they don’t have to when they are getting +24-points. The Monarchs played 9 one-score games a year ago and had a net average point differential of 0.0ppg. ODU is projected to be one of the best pass rushing teams in the Sun Belt and have players (linebackers Henderson and Naotala) capable of pressuring a new QB in Indiana (Fernando Mendoza - Cal). Despite Indiana’s dominant 11-2 season in 2024, their offense faces uncertainties with a new quarterback and a rebuilt running back unit. Old Dominion, coming off a 5-7 season, excels in close games (20 one-score games in the last two seasons). ODU Dual-threat QB Colton Joseph could exploit Indiana’s thin defensive line, keeping the game competitive. Indiana had one of the best +/- averages in college football at +21.7ppg but that’s still not enough to get a cover in this one.
Ricky Tran
Ricky's 1* play on CHC.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.
- Chicago Cubs is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games against Colorado.
- Colorado is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
- Chicago Cubs is 6-4 in their last 10 games.
Verdict: The value is on the road favorite.
Joseph D'Amico
Joe D SWEEPS the board on Wednesday. Not here to give you action. Here to give you winners. I have isolated a few HUGE NCAAF winners for you this weekend, posted shortly.
Saturday’s FREE WINNER: Ohio State Buckeyes.
Game 188.
9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.
In the biggest marquee matchup on the college football board this week, we have the No. 1 Texas Longhorns going into Columbus to play the No. 3 Ohio State Buckeyes. In a quick recap, these two teams met last January in the CFP semifinals, and we all know how that ended. Ohio State took down Texas, 28-14, to then go on to beat Notre Dame for the National Championship. Everywhere I go, I am reading that the game was tied thru the third quarter, and into the fourth, and blah blah blah blah blah blah blah. Guys, bottom line, the Buckeyes did what they needed to do to win that contest. Yes, this is a big revenge situation for the Longhorns. I mean they are now led by Heisman-candidate, Arch Manning, who has full control of the offense this season. There is an edge at the quarterback position for the visitor here, and yes, the Buckeyes have Julian Sayin at the helm, making his first ever start. But please understand Manning only has two starts under his belt, himself. Texas also had to replace four starters on their offensive line. Coincidentally enough, so did Ohio State on their defensive line. But the Buckeyes are very deep on defense side of the ball, bringing back a couple of seasoned veterans on their stop-unit, which is expected to be as ferocious as they were a season ago. This team did not give up a lot of points, and faced quite a few strong offenses last year. Let's not forget, playing at home in front of some of the most loyal fans in all of college sports, gives Ohio State a big edge as well. One last item my friends, it also can't sit well with the Buckeyes that they open their season ranked behind a team in which they took down just over seven months ago. I'm going against the masses here. Take OSU, my friends. Thank you.
Kenny Walker
Free Pick on Appalachian State -4 -105
Cole Faxon
FREE PLAY on Western Michigan/Michigan State over 48½
Brody Vaughn
1* Free Play on over 9
Tim Michael
T.M. Selection: Milwaukee Brewers.
I think the Brewers offer tremendous value to upset what I believe to be an overpriced Toronto side. Shane Bieber is great, but I don't have "Bieber-Fever" quite yet, as the sample size is still way too small to draw any firm conclusions about his performance this season. What I can say though is that Brewers' scheduled starter Freddy Peralta (15-5, 2.68 ERA) has been a consistent bright spot for Milwaukee all year and he clearly comes in "battle tested." Great value on a great pitcher and a red-hot team; consider the Brewers!
T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Milwaukee.
Dustin Hawkins
1 Dimer on Angels vs Astros over 9 +105
Ray Monohan
Washington +129
The Nationals are worth a free move here. They’re at plus money against a Rays team that just has been too inconsistent to trust. Offensively they’ve struggled at times and the pitching has been a huge question mark. Adrian Houser has struggled lately and is off a start where the Cards got him for 4 runs. Washington’s young core is playing well and this is a great price in them. Back the Nats. My daily free plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Remember folks, money management is the key to profits when it comes to sports gambling. Strong lean on the NATS tonight. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.
Friday 5* FREE MLB ML Play
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Juan Carlos Flores
Recommended Bet: Millonarios +167
Brandon Lee
Friday's CFB Free Pick
PLAY ON: Georgia Tech/Colorado OVER 51
Tom Macrina
Coach Deion Sanders faces a challenging season with Colorado, navigating personal distractions involving his sons' NFL-related issues and the loss of their Heisman-winning Hunter. However, the Buffaloes bolstered their offense through the transfer portal, with improvements expected along the offensive line. Kaidon Salter, the new quarterback, brings promise, and the offense should be capable of moving the ball effectively. On the other side, Georgia Tech, under Brent Key’s leadership, has built a formidable program poised to compete for a top-25 ranking all season. The Yellow Jackets boast a superior offense, led by quarterback Haynes King, who is now fully comfortable in the system, complemented by a robust running game. Given Georgia Tech’s offensive edge and overall program stability, I strongly favor the Yellow Jackets to cover the spread. Expect a high-scoring affair, as both teams are likely to put points on the board. Take the Over. Let's cash some tickets!
Alex Smart
Fresno State lost their starting QB Mikey Keene to Michigan and their top 3 wide receivers from last year entering this campaign, and it showed via an anemic looking attack in their first game of the season against a average to sub par Kansas D. The Bulldogs run heavy offense managed just under 200 yards passing and 37 total yards on the ground via 29 carries. Those are some ugly numbers, and Im betting they will continue to suffer growing pains on the offensive side of the ball here early on the season. On the flip-side Georgia Southerns air raid offense, is expected to feature alot of short passes and clock grinding type options making for a pace that screams out as being boring, which in conjunction with Fresnos pound the ground game plan equals a lower scoring affair.
Play under
Brian Bitler
For the Friday Card in College Football I am looking at the Colorado Buffalos hosting the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. Last year Georgia Tech got me out of the gate with one of my first wins of the season as they knocked off what many thought would be a powerful FSU team. Haynes King for Georgia Tech comes in with big expectations as he is one of the 58 candidates for the Golden Arm award. Colorado definitely should take a big step back this year coming off a 9-4 record and closing out the season with a loss to BYU. Colorado has a nice home field advantage and that crowd would be rocking at Folsom field in Boulder Colorado for this big ESPN national TV game.
Play on the Colorado Buffalos plus the points rotation #168
Totals Guru
Free Total Annihilator On Marlins vs Mets under 8 -110