home MLB Free Picks Tigers vs. Astros Free Pick August 21, 2019

Tigers vs. Astros Free Pick August 21, 2019

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Tigers vs. Astros Free Pick

Play on: UNDER 8½ (-108)

Start Time: August 21 2019, 8:10 PM

Houston starter Justin Verlander (15-4, 2.81 ERA) should shut down the Tigers with ease. Detroit left-hander Daniel Norris (3-10, 4.82 ERA) is far from terrible and don’t expect much fireworks from the Astros as their bats can take the night off and rely on their ace.

Note that under is 5-1 in Verlander’s last 6 starts overall and 22-7-1 in his last 30 starts with 4 days of rest.

Additionally, the Astros look like they might close as a -500 favorite here. Since 2004, four teams have closed as favorite of -450 or more:

2004: Red Sox (-460) vs. Rays 2-5
2016: Dodgers (-450) vs. Braves 4-0
2017: Indians (-460) vs. Tigers 2-0
2019: Astros (-450) vs. Mariners 3-1

All low-scoring contests, and while it’s just a small four-game sample, I recommend rolling with the under here.

Free pick on UNDER. 

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