Kings vs Heat Free Pick October 29, 2018

GRIZZLIES @ SPURS FREE PICK

The over/under is 6-3 in games involving the San Antonio Spurs this season and both of their last two games have surpassed 230 points. Here they'll host a Memphis Grizzlies team that scored 122 points on Dallas last time out but still lost as they gave up 138. The Grizzlies have allowed 125.7 ppg over their past three contests. 

Both San Antonio and Memphis have been known for playing tough defense in recent seasons, but this year is shaping up quite differently with both sides in the bottom 10 for defensive efficiency. Additionally, the Grizzlies have been pushing the tempo way more than usual ranking sixth the NBA for pace (the number of possessions a team uses per game). 

Over is 8-1 in Spurs last 9 home games and 12-3-1 in Spurs last 16 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game (they lost 135-115 last time out). 

Free pick on OVER. 

32-24 (57%) NFL record YTD, and Mike has also picked 6-1 L7 NHL PREMIUM PICKS! Additionally, Mike's basketball plays have been money with 33-20 NBA totals run, 9-3 NBA sides run and 5-2 L7 COLLEGE BASKETBALL premium picks. 

Monday's premium card features 2 TOP RATED NBA PLAYS (1 side, 1 total) and a Monday Night Football (Seahawks @ Niners) winner. 

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SEAHAWKS @ NINERS MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL BOOKIE BLASTER

The San Francisco 49ers are the only undefeated team in the NFL heading into Monday Night Football, and I think they'll come out of this matchup with NFC West Rivals Seattle Seahawks unscathed. 

Sure, the Seahawks are a respectable 7-2 SU on the season, but they lost by six points to New Orleans and 14 to Baltimore, the only two teams they've faced that are close to the caliber of this Niners team. 

San Francisco got the job done but not much more in last week's 28-25 win at Arizona, but it was a clear sandwich spot as they played on a short week on a Thursday night after putting a 38-point beating on Carolina the week before and also most likely looking ahead to this contest. 

49ers are 27-7 ATS in their last 34 Monday games and the home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 head-to-head meetings.

8* play on San Francisco 49ers. 

TOP RATED RAPTORS @ CLIPPERS *BEST BET*

This is a complete mismatch scheduling-wise. The shorthanded Toronto Raptors (Kyle Lowry and Serge Ibaka are out) will be playing their third straight road game and on no rest following an upset win against the LA Lakers last night while the Clippers have had three days of rest since defeating Portland. Note that the Clippers are a perfect 7-0 ATS L7 when playing on three or more days rest. 

This game will be of particular importance for Clippers star forward Kawhi Leonard who led the Raptors to the NBA Championship last season, and I don't think he'll show any mercy on his former teammates. 

Both teams have been money against the spread with identical 6-3 ATS records, but expect a fired up and rested home team to get the job done in this one.

10* play on LA Clippers. 

TOP RATED MONDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL

Golden State has been atrocious on the defensive end of the hardwood in recent games, but the Utah Jazz just might come out flat offensively in this following back-to-back home wins over two NBA heavyweights in Philadelphia and Milwaukee.

The Jazz have the best defensive efficiency in the league, and this edition of the Golden State Warriors lack the firepower to break them down. 

Under is 11-2-1 in Jazz last 14 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 20-6-1 in Warriors last 27 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

10* play on UNDER.